The demographic features of the population of Kosovo, includes various factors such as population density, ethnicity, education level, health of the populace, economic status, religious affiliations and other aspects of the population.
Kosovo has an estimated population of 1,733,872 (as of 2011 Census, which was boycotted by Kosovo Serbs).[1] The dominant ethnic group is Albanian, with significant minorities of Serbs (a constituent nation) and others.
The 2000 Living Standard Measurement Survey by Statistical Office of Kosovo (rejected by Belgrade[2]): Total population estimated between 1.8-2.0 million.[3] From 2000, AMSJ (confirmed by Kosovo Statistical Office in 2003), estimating a 1,900,000 strong population.
Kosovo currently has the youngest population in Europe, with a fertility estimated by the Census Bureau of 2.4 children per woman. [3] As recently as 1990, [4] Kosovo's population structure resembled those of countries like Haiti, and was in stark contrast to the rest of Serbia [5] and other European countries. In recent years, however, Kosovo's population growth rate has begun to slow and its birth rate has decreased.
Population estimates in the table below may be unreliable since the 1990s. Besides, births and deaths exclude territories with a Serbian majority.
Average population (x 1000) | Live births | Deaths | Natural change | Crude birth rate (per 1000) | Crude death rate (per 1000) | Natural change (per 1000) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1948 | 733 | 27 792 | 10 324 | 17 468 | 37.9 | 14.1 | 23.8 |
1949 | 751 | 31 643 | 12 937 | 18 706 | 42.1 | 17.2 | 24.9 |
1950 | 764 | 35 222 | 12 991 | 22 231 | 46.1 | 17.0 | 29.1 |
1951 | 780 | 29 299 | 14 833 | 14 466 | 37.6 | 19.0 | 18.5 |
1952 | 793 | 35 619 | 13 867 | 21 752 | 44.9 | 17.5 | 27.4 |
1953 | 813 | 34 595 | 16 726 | 17 869 | 42.6 | 20.6 | 22.0 |
1954 | 832 | 38 595 | 13 201 | 25 394 | 46.4 | 15.9 | 30.5 |
1955 | 842 | 36 736 | 15 292 | 21 444 | 43.6 | 18.2 | 25.5 |
1956 | 859 | 37 819 | 13 692 | 24 127 | 44.0 | 15.9 | 28.1 |
1957 | 873 | 34 159 | 15 300 | 18 859 | 39.1 | 17.5 | 21.6 |
1958 | 890 | 39 285 | 11 598 | 27 687 | 44.1 | 13.0 | 31.1 |
1959 | 921 | 37 364 | 12 878 | 24 486 | 40.6 | 14.0 | 26.6 |
1960 | 944 | 41 631 | 13 365 | 28 266 | 44.1 | 14.2 | 29.9 |
1961 | 972 | 40 561 | 11 759 | 28 802 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 29.6 |
1962 | 997 | 41 336 | 15 024 | 26 312 | 41.5 | 15.1 | 26.4 |
1963 | 1 021 | 41 525 | 12 423 | 29 102 | 40.7 | 12.2 | 28.5 |
1964 | 1 046 | 42 557 | 12 731 | 29 826 | 40.7 | 12.2 | 28.5 |
1965 | 1 075 | 43 569 | 11 767 | 31 802 | 40.5 | 10.9 | 29.6 |
1966 | 1 101 | 42 429 | 10 266 | 32 163 | 38.5 | 9.3 | 29.2 |
1967 | 1 131 | 44 001 | 11 308 | 32 693 | 38.9 | 10.0 | 28.9 |
1968 | 1 159 | 44 627 | 10 781 | 33 846 | 38.5 | 9.3 | 29.2 |
1969 | 1 189 | 46 480 | 10 892 | 35 588 | 39.1 | 9.2 | 29.9 |
1970 | 1 220 | 44 496 | 10 829 | 33 667 | 36.5 | 8.9 | 27.6 |
1971 | 1 254 | 47 060 | 10 312 | 36 748 | 37.5 | 8.2 | 29.3 |
1972 | 1 291 | 47 943 | 10 270 | 37 673 | 37.1 | 8.0 | 29.2 |
1973 | 1 329 | 47 714 | 10 358 | 37 356 | 35.9 | 7.8 | 28.1 |
1974 | 1 367 | 49 847 | 10 075 | 39 772 | 36.5 | 7.4 | 29.1 |
1975 | 1 406 | 49 310 | 10 018 | 39 292 | 35.1 | 7.1 | 27.9 |
1976 | 1 446 | 51 355 | 10 149 | 41 206 | 35.5 | 7.0 | 28.5 |
1977 | 1 487 | 49 849 | 9 811 | 40 038 | 33.5 | 6.6 | 26.9 |
1978 | 1 526 | 49 027 | 9 776 | 39 251 | 32.1 | 6.4 | 25.7 |
1979 | 1 566 | 48 125 | 9 575 | 38 550 | 30.7 | 6.1 | 24.6 |
1980 | 1 555 | 53 147 | 8 909 | 44 238 | 34.2 | 5.7 | 28.4 |
1981 | 1 595 | 48 111 | 9 677 | 38 434 | 30.2 | 6.1 | 24.1 |
1982 | 1 629 | 52 865 | 10 479 | 42 386 | 32.5 | 6.4 | 26.0 |
1983 | 1 664 | 49 645 | 11 040 | 38 605 | 29.8 | 6.6 | 23.2 |
1984 | 1 699 | 55 243 | 10 573 | 44 670 | 32.5 | 6.2 | 26.3 |
1985 | 1 735 | 53 925 | 11 826 | 42 099 | 31.1 | 6.8 | 24.3 |
1986 | 1 773 | 54 519 | 10 446 | 44 073 | 30.7 | 5.9 | 24.9 |
1987 | 1 811 | 56 221 | 10 307 | 45 914 | 31.0 | 5.7 | 25.4 |
1988 | 1 850 | 56 283 | 10 257 | 46 026 | 30.4 | 5.5 | 24.9 |
1989 | 1 889 | 53 656 | 10 181 | 43 475 | 28.4 | 5.4 | 23.0 |
1990 | 1 930 | 55 175 | 8 214 | 46 961 | 28.6 | 4.3 | 24.3 |
1991 | 1 967 | 52 263 | 8 526 | 43 737 | 26.6 | 4.3 | 22.2 |
1992 | 2 006 | 44 418 | 8 004 | 36 414 | 22.1 | 4.0 | 18.2 |
1993 | 2 043 | 44 132 | 7 804 | 36 328 | 21.6 | 3.8 | 17.8 |
1994 | 2 077 | 43 450 | 7 667 | 35 783 | 20.9 | 3.7 | 17.2 |
1995 | 2 113 | 44 776 | 8 671 | 36 105 | 21.2 | 4.1 | 17.1 |
1996 | 2 151 | 46 041 | 8 392 | 37 649 | 21.4 | 3.9 | 17.5 |
1997 | 2 186 | 42 920 | 8 624 | 34 296 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 15.7 |
1998 | 2 000 | 41 752 | 8 123 | 33 629 | 20.9 | 4.1 | 16.8 |
1999 | 2 000 | 40 020 | 7 569 | 32 451 | 20.0 | 3.8 | 16.2 |
2000 | 2 000 | 38 667 | 7 115 | 31 552 | 19.3 | 3.6 | 15.8 |
2001 | 2 000 | 37 412 | 6 672 | 30 740 | 18.7 | 3.3 | 15.4 |
2002 | 1 985 | 36 136 | 5 654 | 30 482 | 18.2 | 2.8 | 15.4 |
2003 | 2 016 | 31 994 | 6 417 | 25 577 | 15.9 | 3.2 | 12.7 |
2004 | 2 041 | 35 063 | 6 399 | 28 664 | 17.2 | 3.1 | 14.0 |
2005 | 2 070 | 37 218 | 7 207 | 30 011 | 18.0 | 3.5 | 14.5 |
2006 | 2 100 | 34 187 | 7 479 | 26 708 | 16.3 | 3.6 | 12.7 |
2007 | 2 126 | 33 112 | 6 681 | 26 431 | 15.6 | 3.1 | 12.4 |
2008 | 2 153 | 34 399 | 6 852 | 27 547 | 16.0 | 3.2 | 12.8 |
2009 | 2 175 | 34 240 | 7 030 | 27 210 | 15.7 | 3.2 | 12.5 |
2010 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
The official results of the censuses in Kosovo as part of Yugoslavia after World war II are tabulated below. The proportion of Albanians was below 70% until 1961, but increased to 81.6% in 1991.
Ethnic group |
census 1948 | census 1953 | census 1961 | census 1971 | census 1981 | census 1991 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | |
Albanians | 498,244 | 68.5 | 524,559 | 64.9 | 646,605 | 67.1 | 916,168 | 73.7 | 1,226,736 | 77.4 | 1,596,072 | 81.6 |
Serbs | 171,911 | 23.6 | 189,869 | 23.5 | 227,016 | 23.5 | 228,264 | 18.4 | 209,498 | 13.2 | 194,190 | 9.9 |
Muslims | 9,679 | 1.3 | 6,241 | 0.8 | 8,026 | 0.8 | 26,357 | 2.1 | 58,562 | 3.7 | ||
Montenegrins | 28,050 | 3.9 | 31,343 | 3.9 | 37,588 | 3.9 | 31,555 | 2.5 | 27,028 | 1.7 | ||
Croats | 5,290 | 0.7 | 6,201 | 0.8 | 7,251 | 0.8 | 8,264 | 0.7 | 8,718 | 0.6 | ||
Yugoslavs | 5,206 | 0.5 | 920 | 0.1 | 2,676 | 0.2 | ||||||
Romani | 11,230 | 1.5 | 11,904 | 1.5 | 3,202 | 0.3 | 14,593 | 1.2 | 34,126 | 2.2 | 45,745 | 2.3 |
Turks | 1,315 | 0.2 | 34,583 | 4.3 | 25,764 | 2.7 | 12,244 | 1.0 | 12,513 | 0.8 | 10,445 | 0.5 |
Macedonians | 526 | 0.1 | 972 | 0.1 | 1,142 | 0.1 | 1,048 | 0.1 | 1,056 | 0.1 | ||
Others or unspecified | 1,577 | 0.2 | 2,469 | 0.3 | 2,188 | 0.2 | 4,280 | 0.3 | 3,454 | 0.2 | 109,744 | 5.6 |
Total | 727,820 | 808,141 | 963,988 | 1,243,693 | 1,584,441 | 1,956,196 | ||||||
The 2000 Living Standard Measurement Survey by Statistical Office of Kosovo found an ethnic composition of the population as follows:
A most comprehensive (October 2002) estimate (for the 1.9 million inhabitants) for these years:
During the Kosovo War in 1999, over 700,000 ethnic Albanians[5] and around 100,000 ethnic Serbs were forced out of the province to neighbouring Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Serbia. After the United Nations took over administration of Kosovo following the war, the vast majority of the Albanian refugees returned. The largest diaspora communities of Kosovo Albanians are in Germany and Switzerland accounting for some 200,000 individuals each, or for 20% of the population resident in Kosovo.
Many non-Albanians - chiefly Serbs and Roma - fled or were expelled, mostly to the rest of Serbia at the end of the war, with further refugee outflows occurring as the result of sporadic ethnic violence. The number of registered refugees is around 250,000.[6][7][8] The non-Albanian population in Kosovo is now about half of its pre-war total. The largest concentration of Serbs in the province is in the north, but many remain in Kosovo Serb enclaves surrounded by Albanian-populated areas. Also, according to Serbian sources, the Gorani people, living on the south-most tip of the Kosovo are systematically oppressed and denied their minority rights.[9]
Muslims are over 90% of the population (1,800,000) (mostly Sunni, with a small Sufi minority), Orthodox Christians 6% and Roman Catholics are 3% and close to 1% Protestant. Islam is the predominant religion professed by the ethnic Albanian population of Kosovo, the Bosniak, Gorani and Turkish communities, and some of the Roma/Ashkali/Egyptian community.[10] Protestant Community in Kosovo started in 1870-ties, and today in country are more than 28 Protestant Evangelical Churches.
During the 2000s, large investments in Kosovo were made by Middle Eastern charities, especially Saudi Arabian. The new Hasan Beg mosque in Pristina is entirely Saudi-financed. There are concerns that these investments are made with the intention of fostering radical Islam in Kosovo.[11]
The Serb population, estimated at 100,000 to 150,000 persons, is largely Serbian Orthodox. The Catholic Albanian communities are mostly concentrated in Đakovica, Prizren and Peć and few villages near Uroševac and Klina who have 3% of population in Kosovo..
Archeological findings show that Bronze and Iron Age tombs were found only in Metohija, not in Kosovo proper.[12]
The region was inhabited by Illyrians, Celts[13][14] and Thracians.[14][15] After Roman conquest of Illyria at 168 BC, Romans colonized and founded several cities in the region.[16]
Slavs are mentioned in the area since the 520s AD, with the Slav tribe of Sklavenoi settling the Praetorian prefecture of Illyricum, the mythological founders of the Serbs were the White Serbs; "who settled in the Balkans during the rule of Emperor Heraclius" (610-641).[17] In the 12th century, according to the Byzantine Empress Anna Angelina Komnenos, the Serbs were the main inhabitants of Kosovo (Eastern Dalmatia and former Moesia Superior).[18] Archeological findings from the 7th century onwards show a Serb (Slavic) cultural domination in case of glagolithic letters, pottery, cemeteries, churches and monasteries.[19]
In 1054 the Great Schism occurred in the realm, the Byzantine Empire (Roman) was divided on religious basis and Kosovo & Metohija was part of the Orthodox world (Subsequently the base of the Serbian Orthodox Church). Catholicism did not exist in the native population.
The Dečani charters (Serbian: Дечанске хрисовуље) from 1321-1331 by Stephen Uroš III Dečanski of Serbia contains a detailed list of households and villages in Metohija and northwestern Albania. The first charter concludes that this region was ethnically Serb.[20]
89 settlements with 2,666 households were recorded of which:[21]
2,166 livestock households of 2,666 agricultural households:
The ethnic composition of Kosovo's population during this period included Serbs, Albanians, and Vlachs along with a token number of Greeks, Armenians, Saxons, and Bulgarians, according to Serbian monastic charters or chrysobulls (Hrisovulja). A majority of the given names in the charters are overwhelmingly Serbian (Of 24,795 names, 23,774 were ethnic Serb names, 470 of Roman origin, 65 of Albanian origin and 61 of Greek origin).
Researches of the early Turkish cadastre (Defter) is often interpreted in two ways. Serbian scholars draw the conclusion that Serbs were majority until the 17th century. Alain Ducellier claims that the population of Kosovo in the 14th and 15th centuries was in fact "still Albanian and Christian."[22]
1455: Turkish cadastral tax census (defter)[23] of the Brankovic dynasty lands (covering most of present-day Kosovo) recorded:
Totally there were around 75,000 inhabitants in 590 villages comprising modern-day Kosovo.
Turkish defter did not give any data on ethnicity. However, Yugoslav and Serbian sholars have researched ethnic structure of Kosovo population. According to them there were[24]:
1487: A census of the House of Branković
1582: Ottoman defter census (Tahrir defterleri)[25]
Ottoman defter from 1591[26]:
The Great Turkish War of 1683–1699 between the Ottomans and the Habsburgs led to the flight of a substantial part of Serbian population to Austrian held Vojvodina and the Military Frontier - about 37,000 families of Serb refugees were led by Patriarch Arsenije III Crnojević settled in the Habsburg Monarchy, mostly from today's Kosovo - this being known as the Great Migration of Serbs. And then again, from the period between 1717 and 1737, the Second Migration of Serbs.
19th century data about the population of Kosovo tend to be rather conflicting, giving sometimes numerical superiority to the Serbs and sometimes to the Albanians. The Ottoman statistics are regarded as unreliable, as the empire counted its citizens by religion rather than nationality, using birth records rather than surveys of individuals.
A study in 1838 by an Austrian physician, dr. Joseph Müller found Metohija to be mostly Slavic (Serbian) in character.[27] Müller gives data for the three counties (Bezirke) of Prizren, Peć and Đakovica which roughly covered Dukagjini, the portion adjacent to Albania and most affected by Albanian settlers. Out of 195,000 inhabitants in Dukagjini, Müller found:
Müller's observations on towns:
Map published by French ethnographer G. Lejean[28] in 1861 shows that Albanians lived on around 57% of the territory of today's province while a similar map, published by British travellers G. M. Mackenzie and A. P. Irby[28] in 1867 shows slightly less; these maps don't show which population was larger overall. Nevethless, maps cannot be used to measure population as they leave out density.
A study done in 1871 by Austrian colonel Peter Kukulj[29] for the internal use of the Austro-Hungarian army showed that the mutesarifluk of Prizren (corresponding largely to present-day Kosovo) had some 500,000 inhabitants, of which:
Modern Serbian sources estimated that around 400,000[30] Serbs were cleansed out of the Vilayet of Kosovo between 1876 and 1912, especially during the Greek-Ottoman War in 1897.[31]
Maps published by German historian Kiepert[28] in 1876, J. Hahn[28] and Austrian consul K. Sax,[28] show that Albanians live on most of the territory of today's province, however they don't show which population is larger. According to these, the regions of Kosovska Mitrovica and Kosovo Polje were settled mostly by Serbs, whereas most of the terrirory of western and eastern parts of today's province was settled by Muslim Albanians.
An Austrian statistics[32] published in 1899 estimated:
At the end of the 19th century, Spiridon Gopchevich, an Austrian traveller - comprised a statistics and published them in Vienna. They established that Prizren had 60,000 citizens of whome 11,000 were Christian Serbs and 36,000 Moslem Serbs. The remaining population were Turks, Albanians, Tzintzars and Roma. For Pec he said that it had 2,530 households of which 1,600 were Mohammedan, 700 Christian Serb, 200 Catholic Albanian and 10 Turkish.
Note: Descendants of Muslim Serbs mentioned by travelers today mostly self-declare as Muslims by nationality, Bosniaks or Gorani. Also note that territory of Ottoman Kosovo Vilayet was quite different than modern-day Kosovo.
British journalist H. Brailsford estimated in 1906[33] that two-thirds of the population of Kosovo was Albanian and one-third Serbian. The most populous western districts of Đakovica and Peć were said to have between 20,000 and 25,000 Albanian households, as against some 5,000 Serbian ones. A map of Alfred Stead,[34] published in 1909 , shows that similar numbers of Serbs and Albanians were living in the territory.
German scholar Gustav Weigand gave the following statistical data about the population of Kosovo,[35] based on the pre-war situation in Kosovo in 1912:
Metohija with the town of Đakovica is furthermore defined as almost exclusively Albanian by Weigand.[35] Citing Serbian sources, Noel Malcolm also states that in 1912 when Kosovo came under Serbian control, "the Orthodox Serb population at less than 25%,[6]"
The colonisation of Kosovo began during the Balkan Wars.[36] After the World War I began systematic colonization as a state project of Yugoslavian Kingdom. The table shows total number of registered settlers in each Kosovo area[37]:
|
|||||||
Regional Center | Number of Colonists | ||||||
Uroševac | 15.381 | ||||||
Đakovica | 15.824 | ||||||
Prizren | 3.084 | ||||||
Peć | 13.376 | ||||||
Mitrovica | 429 | ||||||
Vučitrn | 10.169 | ||||||
Total | 58.263 |
The process was a result of the agrarian reform pursued by the Yugoslavian authorities. "Tax and property incentives for Serbs to move to Kosovo produced a measurable demographic change in Kosovo’s cities by 1929, but the province’s overall ethnic balance remained roughly 60% Albanian, 35% Serb,[7]".
The ethnic Albanian and Turkish population, at the time, in Kosovo and Metohia were reluctant to reconcile with living in a European-organized state where, instead of the status of the absolutely privileged class they had enjoyed during the Turkish rule, they acquired only civil equality with what had previously been the infidel masses. Discontent with the new state among the ethnic Albanian masses stepped up emigration to Turkey, in whose Muslim environment they felt at home.[38]
By the 1930s, thousands of ethnic Albanian and Turkish families were forcefully deported[39] to Turkey Republic of Turkey, and in 1938, after lengthly negotiations, the Yugoslav and Turkish governments prepared a convention on the emigration of some 200,000 Muslims (ethnic Albanians and Turks) from Kosovo-Metohia and Macedonia to Turkey. Because the Turkish government abandoned the agreement and a lack of funds to dispatch the emigrants, the convention was never implemented. The Yugoslav authorities conducted a census on the region of Kosovo in 1939. The census was handed poorly and not finished. It registered some 125,000 Albanians, while the number of the entire non-Slav population (Albanians, Turks, Roma etc.) was 422,828 or 65.6%. The percentage of native Slavic population and the colonists was 25.2% and 9.2%, respectively.[38]
It was followed by a mass exodus of tens of thousands of Serbs during the Second World War. After the war, liberal Yugoslav policies allowed the Albanian population to increase from 75% to well over 90% through increased birth rate and immigration, in contrast, the Serbian population waned to just 8% of the pre war population. During the Kosovo War, roughly a half of Albanians and Serbians left Kosovo.[40]
Most of the territory of today's province is occupied by Italian-controlled Greater Albania, massacres of some 10,000[41][42] Serbs, ethnic cleansing of about 100[41] to 250,000[41][43] or more[42]
Nazi Germany estimated that from November 1943 to February 1944, 40 000 Serbs fled Italian-occupied Kosovo for Montenegro and Serbia.
727,820 total inhabitants:
808,141 total inhabitants
963,959 total inhabitants
After 1961, 103,000 Serbs and Montenegrins left Kosovo, mainly due to alleged mistreatment by Albanian authorities and population.[44]
After the province gained autonomy, the local provincial Statistical office given authority over the Census, whereas the rest of the country's Census was under the leadership of the Federal Statistical Commission. There were allegations of 'Census rigging' (for the 1971 and 1981 censuses) by Turkish, Muslim and Romani minorities who claim forceful Albanization. The Serbians claimed that the Albanians had drastically overinflated their prevalence within Kosovo. It was felt that this could not be substantiated though because the Kosovo Statistical offices were under the control of the majority Albanian population - this was against the national norm at the time, which dictated that census takers had to be of different nationalities
1,243,693 total inhabitants
1,584,558 total inhabitants
Official Yugoslav statistical results, almost all Albanians and some Roma, Muslims boycott the census following a call by Ibrahim Rugova to boycott Serbian institutions.
359,346 total population
Official Yugoslav statistical corrections and projections, with the help of previous census results (1948–1981):
1,956,196 Total population
The corrections should not taken to be fully accurate. The number of Albanians is sometimes regarded as being an underestimate. On the other hand, it is sometimes regarded as an overestimate, being derived from earlier censa which are believed to be overestimates. The Statistical Office of Kosovo states that the quality of the 1991 census is "questionable." [8].
In September 1993 , the Bosniak parliament returned their historical name Bosniaks. Some Kosovar Muslims have started using this term to refer to themselves since.
In the year of 1995, Official Yugoslav statistical results,. There was a total of around 1,600,000 inhabitants in Kosovo (and a further 600,000 living abroad):
Just before the 13 October 1998, UNHCR estimated that there were around 200,000 misplaced people in Kosovo in the civil war that already engulfed half of the province. Of that, some 120,000 were displaced abroad (forming 80% of FRJ's displaced diaspora):
In 1998 the Federal Secretariat of Information in Belgrade estimated a pre-term population census for the Autonomous Province of Kosovo and Metohija listing around 1,378,980 citizens:
The total list of countries to which the refugees refuged and in what numbers:
abroad:
other countries to which Kosovars refuged:
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